India’s AIF industry has come a long way since its inception a decade ago. What is striking about the industry is its pace of growth. The commitments raised, which denotes amount clients are willing to invest in AIFs, are expected to surpass INR 7 lakh crores within a decade in the Sep 2022 quarter. However, the mutual fund industry, which currently sits with an average AUM of ~INR 40 lakh crores (as of Nov 2022), achieved an AUM of the same level over four decades in mid-2009, after the first scheme (US-64 by UTI) was launched in 1964.
Due to increasing awareness and recognition of AIFs as a preferred alternative investment vehicle, the growth in the number of schemes was phenomenal with new entrants and demand for new schemes. In less than three years, the number of schemes more than doubled from 506 in FY20 to 1019 in FY23 (till Oct ’22).
The major factor that is driving the growth in AIFs is their low correlation to public markets, regulatory support, and their ability to provide a diversified investment portfolio, mitigating the risk profile of investors. Hence, high net-worth individuals (HNIs) and family offices are increasingly preferring AIFs instead of limiting themselves to asset classes like traditional equity and bonds to diversify risk in their portfolio. Higher volatility in the market for traditional investments due to economic consequences of Covid-19, geo-political tensions, and surging inflation have been a major concern. Given these issues, AIFs fit well into the criteria with higher risk-adjusted returns and inflation hedging.
The engines of growth
Is there inherent strength to support the growth potential of AIFs in India? There is indeed a significant pool of wealthy individuals who all can be the target group to tap the underpenetrated market. As per a recent report, the number of high net-worth individuals (HNIs), with a net worth of over US$1 million, is expected to nearly double from ~0.8 million in 2021 to ~1.4 million in 2026.
The Accreditation Investors framework, initiated by SEBI in 2021, holds the key to the paradigm shift in the AIF industry. This is primarily because the market watchdog has allowed Accreditation Investors under the framework to invest with ticket sizes that are lower than the stipulated minimum amount of INR 1 crore. The premise of the framework is based on a class of investors, who are equipped with good knowledge about the risk and returns of financial products, have the ability to make informed decisions about their investments, and meet certain income eligibility criteria.
Certificates for Accredited Investors would be provided by Accreditation Agencies, which can be subsidiaries of stock exchanges or depositories (National Securities Depository Limited or Central Depository Services Limited) or any other institution that meets the eligibility criteria.
The relaxed criteria in minimum investment will be able to unlock the potential of the AIF industry by enabling investors to enter the market who were previously backing off due to higher ticket sizes. The widening of the investor base, for instance, can be gauged from that of the size of the market for Portfolio Management Services (PMS), which requires a minimum investment of INR 50 lakhs per investor.
The investor base of PMS was ~1.4 lakh as of Oct 2022. Hence, given the fact that there could be 15,000 to 20,000 unique investors across all AIFs registered with SEBI, and considering the PMS base, we are looking at growth in the AIF base, which is 7-9x the current size for the near term.
(iii) Listing of fund units
The development of a secondary market for AIFs is essential to ensure liquidity in the AIF industry. As per Section 14 of SEBI’s AIF regulations, units of close-ended AIFs may be listed on a stock exchange subject to a minimum tradable lot of INR 1 crore, after the final close of the scheme. However, we are not aware of any AIFs listing their units till date.
The listing of AIF units would
In this regard, clear operational guidelines should also be established by the regulator with respect to standardisation of contribution agreements, handling of fractionalised units, tradable lot sizes for Accredited Investors, and involvement of merchant bankers in the listing process.
Some mutual funds have a fully digitised onboarding process which allows seamless transaction processing with minimal Turnaround Time (TAT). Given the potential growth of AIFs due to the inclusion of smaller ticket size investors with an Accredited Investor framework, there is a need for digitising the onboarding process for AIFs.
We suggest Accreditation Agencies to consider building a digital infrastructure for AIFs for the onboarding process that would